England and Portugal, cloth and wine, in chapter seven of an 1817 treatise on political economy and taxation (1817)
David Ricardo's On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation, chapter 7, 'On Foreign Trade'
General knowledge · Economics & society
Stated by David Ricardo, 1817
Economics — the classical case for international trade
The principle that two countries can both gain from trading even when one of them is better at producing everything, because what matters is not who is better in absolute terms but what each gives up to produce a thing — its opportunity cost. David Ricardo set it out in 1817 with the example of England and Portugal exchanging cloth for wine, and it remains the backbone of the economic case for open trade. It is also the classic example of a result that is true and genuinely surprising, which is why Paul Samuelson offered it when challenged to name one proposition in the social sciences that was both. The model's assumptions — that capital stays put, that labour is fully employed, that adjustment is painless — are where the modern arguments happen.
England and Portugal, cloth and wine, in chapter seven of an 1817 treatise on political economy and taxation (1817)
David Ricardo's On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation, chapter 7, 'On Foreign Trade'
Robert Torrens stated the essential point two years earlier, in an 1815 essay on the corn trade (1815)
An Essay on the External Corn Trade; priority is sometimes given to Torrens
Paul Samuelson's answer when Stanislaw Ulam challenged him to name a social-science proposition both true and non-trivial
Samuelson said the answer was obvious once explained, but that no one had ever guessed it unaided
Heckscher and Ohlin explained the pattern instead by countries' endowments of land, labour and capital (1933)
The Heckscher–Ohlin model; Bertil Ohlin shared the 1977 Nobel Memorial Prize
Wassily Leontief found in 1953 that American exports were labour-intensive, the opposite of what the factor-endowment theory predicted (1953)
The Leontief paradox
Friedrich List's argument that a developing economy should shelter its infant industries first (1841)
The National System of Political Economy — the oldest sustained counter-argument
The 2013 'China shock' papers on American local labour markets and the cost of adjustment (2013)
Autor, Dorn and Hanson; gains from trade are aggregate, losses can be concentrated and lasting